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基于多源观测资料的长沙“4·29”大暴雨特征

Characteristics for "4·29" heavy rainstorm event in Changsha based on multi-source observation data

  • 摘要: 2024年4月29日长沙出现大暴雨、强对流天气,导致市区中午“一秒入夜”。利用风廓线雷达、激光雨滴谱仪、多普勒双偏振天气雷达、闪电定位仪等多源观测资料对该过程最强阶段的中小尺度特征进行初步分析。结果表明: (1) 长沙市区为强降雨、强闪电及雷暴大风密集区。13个站最大分钟降雨量达5 mm,莲花站最大分钟降雨量超过“21·7”河南特大暴雨最大分钟降雨量。(2) 不同直径(D)对应的雨滴数浓度随时间的变化与雨滴谱分钟降雨量的时间演变基本一致,D>1 mm的雨滴对降雨贡献更大;高浓度的中小雨滴数浓度和一定比例的大雨滴可在一定程度导致局地高效强降雨;不同降雨类型的平均谱均为单峰谱,对流云降水的雨滴最大D和各粒径对应的雨滴数浓度均显著高于层状云降水;对流云降水的粒子较活跃,粒子质量加权平均直径和广义截距参数(Dm-log10Nw)特征偏向“大陆性对流”,二者均与降雨强度的变化成正比。(3) 中尺度对流系统(MCSs)中有多个对流单体合并、增强发展,且后侧不断有单体新生补充;长沙市区剧烈对流天气由弓状回波过境所致,分钟降雨量达5 mm的站点有3.1 º·km−1的差分相移率(KDP)大值区经过;近地面差分反射率因子(ZDR)值高、KDP值强、相关系数(CC)值大,说明降至地面为数浓度极高的扁平大雨滴,强降雨拖曳作用导致雷暴大风发生。(4) 负闪强于正闪,闪电密集区与暴雨区对应,闪电峰值较降雨峰值提前10~20 min,双偏振参量ZDR>2 dB、KDP>0.5 º·km−1可作为强雷电发布的预警指标,预警可提前6~12 min。

     

    Abstract: A heavy rainstorm and strong convective weather event occurred in Changsha on April 29, 2024, leading the city to experience 'nightfall in one second' at noon. By using the multi-source observational data from wind profile radar, laser raindrop spectrum, doppler dual-polarization weather radar, and lightning locator, the evolution characteristics of small and medium-scale processes during the most extreme stage of the event are preliminarily analyzed. The results are as follows. (1) Changsha is a concentrated area of heavy precipitation, and strong lightning and thunderstorm winds. The maximum minute precipitation intensity at 13 stations reached 5 mm, and the maximum minute precipitation intensity at Lianhua National Station in Changsha exceeded the maximum minute rainfall during the "21.7" Henan heavy rainstorm. (2) The variation of the number concentrations of raindrops corresponding to different diameters with time is basically consistent with the time evolution of the minute precipitation of the raindrop spectrum, and the raindrops with a diameter of more than 1 mm contribute more significantly to precipitation. A high concentration of small-sized and medium-sized raindrops and a certain proportion of larger raindrops can lead to efficient heavy precipitation to a certain extent. The average spectrum of different precipitation types exhibited unimodal distribution. The maximum diameter and the number concentration of raindrops corresponding to each particle size of convective cloud precipitation are significantly higher than those of stratiform cloud precipitation. And the particles of convective cloud precipitation are more active. The mass-weighted average diameter and generalized intercept parameter (Dm-log10Nw) show "continental convection" characteristics, both of which are positively correlated with the precipitation intensity. (3) Multiple convective cells in the mesoscale convective system merge and enhance, with new cells continuously developed at the rear side. The severe convective weather in the Changsha urban area is caused by the transit of bow echo, and the station with minute rainfall reached 5 mm corresponds to a differential phase shift rate (KDP) large value area of 3.1o km−1. High near-surface differential reflectance factor (ZDR) values, strong KDP values, and large correlation coefficients (CC) indicate that the flat big raindrops with extremely high number concentration fall to the ground, and the heavy precipitation drag effect leads to the occurrence of thunderstorm gale. (4) The negative flashes predominate over the positive flashes, and the area with a large flash rate corresponds to the rainstorm area. The peak of lightning is 10-20 minutes before the precipitation maxima. The dual-polarization parameters ZDR>2 dB and KDP>0.5 º·km−1 can be used to serve as strong lightning warning, with a leading time of about 6-12 minutes.

     

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