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河西走廊西部极端暴雨水汽输送及源地贡献典型个例对比分析

Comparative analysis of typical cases of extreme rainstorm water vapor transport and source contribution in the west of Hexi Corridor

  • 摘要: 充沛的水汽供应是暴雨发生和维持的必要条件,河西走廊西部(以下简称为河西西部)地处我国西北内陆深处,但近年来极端天气事件频发,为揭示该地区极端暴雨过程中的水汽输送特征和来源,本文利用气象观测站降水资料、ERA5再分析资料和GDAS (Global Data Assimilation System)资料,对比分析了河西西部4次极端暴雨过程的环流形势、水汽输送和收支特征,基于HYSPLIT方法模拟计算了暴雨的水汽轨迹及不同源地的水汽贡献。结果表明:(1) 4次极端暴雨的环流形势有两类。“低涡型”暴雨500 hPa高度场为东高西低,青藏高原北部的低涡为其主要影响系统;“副高边缘型”暴雨500 hPa高度场为南高北低,西太平洋副热带高压为其主要影响系统。(2) 两类暴雨均有西、南两路水汽输送带,西路输送带的水汽来源相同,而南路不同。“低涡型”暴雨,大气低层的西路水汽输送强度强,中层以南路水汽输送为主;“副高边缘型”暴雨,低层南路水汽输送强度强,中层以西路水汽输送为主。(3) 两类暴雨中,低层水汽净输入量占整层净输入量的比重均超过60%。“低涡型”暴雨,水汽输入主要为低层西、北两边界和中层东边界;“副高边缘型”暴雨,水汽输入主要是低层东边界和高层西边界。(4) “低涡型”暴雨500 hPa的水汽源地主要是新疆北部、西南东部以及地中海(黑海),700 hPa的水汽源地主要是中亚(里海)和西南东部;“副高边缘型”暴雨500 hPa的水汽源地主要是地中海,700 hPa的水汽源地主要是南亚、华南西部。同时,建立了河西西部两类极端暴雨过程水汽来源及路径的三维结构模型,明确了各层水汽的源地及贡献率。研究结果将有助于理解河西西部极端暴雨的形成机理,为该地区未来的暴雨预报提供一定参考。

     

    Abstract: Abundant water vapor supply is a necessary condition for the occurrence and maintenance of rainstorms. The west of Hexi Corridor is located in the deep arid area in the northwest inland of China, but extreme weather events have occurred frequently in recent years. In order to reveal the characteristics and sources of water vapor transport during extreme rainstorms in this region, this paper uses the precipitation data of meteorological observation stations, ERA5 reanalysis data and GDAS (global data assurance system) data to compare and analyze the circulation situation, water vapor transport and budget characteristics of four extreme rainstorms in the west of Hexi, and uses HYSPLIT method to simulate and calculate the water vapor trajectory of rainstorms and the contribution of water vapor from different sources. The results are as follows. (1) There are two types of circulation patterns during the four extreme rainstorms. The 500 hPa height field of the "low vortex type" rainstorm is high in the east and low in the west, and the low vortex in the north of the Qinghai Tibet Plateau is the main influence system. The 500 hPa height field of the "subtropical high marginal type " rainstorm is high in the south and low in the north, and the Western Pacific subtropical high is the main influence system. (2) The two types of rainstorms have west and south water vapor transport belts. The water vapor source of the west transport belt is the same, but the south transport belt is different. In the "low vortex type" rainstorm, the west of the lower layer has strong water vapor transport intensity, and the middle layer is dominated by the south. In the "subtropical high marginal type" rainstorm, the south of the lower layer has strong water vapor transport intensity, and the middle layer is dominated by the west. (3) In the two types of rainstorms, the proportion of the net input of water vapor in the lower layer to the net input of the whole layer is more than 60%. In the "low vortex type" rainstorm, the water vapor input is mainly the west and north boundaries of the low layer and the east boundary of the middle layer. In the "subtropical high marginal type" rainstorm, the water vapor input is mainly the east boundary of the low layer and the west boundary of the high layer. (4) The water vapor sources of "low vortex type" rainstorm at 500 hPa are mainly the northern Xinjiang, the east of Southwest and the Mediterranean sea (Black Sea), while water vapor sources of at 700 hPa are mainly in Central Asia (Caspian Sea) and the east of Southwest. The water vapor sources of the "subtropical high marginal type" rainstorm at 500 hPa are mainly from the Mediterranean sea, while water vapor sources at 700 hPa are mainly from South Asia and western South China. The three-dimensional structure models of water vapor sources and paths of two types of extreme rainstorms in the west of Hexi were established, and the sources and contribution rates of water vapor in each layer were determined. The results will help to understand the formation mechanism of extreme rainstorm in the west of Hexi, and provide some reference for the rainstorm forecast in this area in the future.

     

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