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“格美”台风残涡影响下湖南溆浦极端小时降雨成因和微物理特征

Causes and microphysical characteristics of extreme hourly rainfall in Xupu under the influence of “Gaemi” typhoon residual vortex

  • 摘要: 受2024年第3号台风“格美”残涡影响,7月28日湖南溆浦出现了破当地历史记录的极端小时降雨(120.1 mm·h−1),为了深入认识此次极端小时降雨的发生发展机制,提高极端小时降雨的预报水平,综合利用多源观测资料和ERA5再分析资料,对极端小时降雨的成因和微物理特征开展了研究。结果表明:在有利的层结、能量和水汽环境条件下,台风残涡南侧的西南气流水汽输送和西侧的偏北风水汽输送在暴雨区汇合,导致了极端小时降雨的发生。极端小时降雨由一个准静止β尺度中尺度对流系统(MCS)造成,在雷达回波图上该MCS表现为鑲嵌在混合云回波中的两个强风暴单体及其合并过程,属于低质心、高效率的暖云降水回波,低层辐合、中高层辐散的垂直结构特征有利于上升运动的维持。中尺度涡旋(MV)与次级环流的配合加强了风暴内的垂直上升运动,有利于将低层的暖湿空气输送到上升气流中,产生和维持极端降雨率,导致极端小时降雨的形成。极端小时降雨时段雨滴直径增大、浓度增加,以暖雨碰并增长为主,极端降雨主要与直径>1 mm的雨滴贡献有关,其中(1, 3 mm区间的雨滴降雨贡献率约占80%。最后给出了导致本次极端小时降雨的概念模型,作为今后天气分析和预报的参考。

     

    Abstract: Affected by the residual vortex of Typhoon “Gaemi”, Xupu in Hunan Province experienced a Record-Breaking extreme hourly rainfall (EHR) of 120.1mm·h-1 on July 28, 2024. To get a deep understanding of the development mechanism of HER and improve the analysis and forecasting ability of EHR, multi-source observations and ERA5 reanalysis data are comprehensively used to analyze the causes and microphysical characteristics of EHR. The results show that under the favorable environmental conditions of stratification, energy, and water vapor, the convergence between the southwest moisture transport from the south side of the typhoon residual vortex and the northerly moisture transport from the west side of the residual vortex triggered the occurrence of extreme hourly rainfall. The EHR is caused by a quasi-stationary β-scale Mesoscale Convective System (MCS). On the radar echo map, this MCS shows as the merging process of two strong storm cells embedded in the mixed cloud echo, which belongs to the low-centroid, high-efficiency warm cloud precipitation echo. The vertical structure characterized by low-level convergence and mid-high-level divergence is conducive to the maintenance of ascending motion. The maintenance of the coupling situation between mesoscale vortex (MV) and secondary circulation strengthens the vertical upward movement within the storms, facilitating the transport of low-level warm and humid air to the updrafts, consequently generating and maintaining extreme rainfall rates, and leading to the occurrence of EHR. During EHR, the diameter and concentration of raindrops increase, mainly due to the collision and growth of warm rain. The rainfall is primarily contributed by raindrops with diameters greater than 1 mm, among which the contribution rate of rainfall in the range of (1, 3 mm accounts for about 80%. Finally, a conceptual model of the EHR was summarized, which provides a reference for future weather analysis and forecasting research.

     

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