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苍山洱海地区一次极端降水特征分析

Analysis of characteristics of an extreme precipitation event in the Cangshan-Erhai Lake region

  • 摘要: 为深入认识苍山洱海地区的极端降水特征,使用苍山洱海地区46个气象观测站降水数据和大理站近地层相对湿度与水汽压数据以及多普勒天气雷达、边界层风廓线雷达、ERA5再分析数据,采用统计和分类方法对该地区2020年9月18日一次极端降水过程的影响系统和降水精细化特征进行分析。结果表明:此次降水过程是一次显著性区域降水事件(Regional Rainfall Event,RRE),受辐合切变线影响,切变线附近的中尺度对流系统直接触发强降水。边界层内具有充分的对流触发条件,有利的系统配置使得过程中生成多个小尺度对流系统,造成区域内30.5%的站点出现暴雨以上强降水,19 h最大累积降水量为123.9 mm,最大雨强为33.6 mm·h−1。由于对流系统发源地、移动路径和强度的不同,使得降水时空分布不均、尺度小,强降水主要集中在苍山东侧,其他区域降水相对较小;洱海北部发展的对流系统移速快、雷达回波强,影响范围相对较小,苍山中部洱海西侧生成的强对流持续时间长,影响范围大;洱海北部降水强度峰值出现时间早于南部,洱海南部降水强度达到峰值后回落较慢,其他区域峰值强度出现后快速减小。

     

    Abstract: To gain a deep understanding of the characteristics of extreme precipitation in the Cangshan-Erhai Lake region, this study analyzed the impact system and refined characteristics of an extreme precipitation event in this region on September 18, 2020, combined with statistical and classification methods. The precipitation observation data from 46 meteorological observation stations, near-surface relative humidity and water vapor pressure data, doppler weather radar, boundary layer wind profile radar in Dali, and the fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA5) data were used. The results are as follow. This precipitation process was a significant regional rainfall event (RRE). Under the influence of the convergence shear line, the mesoscale convective system near the shear line directly triggered this event. Sufficient convective triggering conditions existed in the boundary layer. The favorable system configuration enabled multiple small-scale convective systems to be generated during this process, resulting in precipitation above heavy rain in 30.5% of the stations in the region. The maximum accumulated precipitation in 19 h was 123.9 mm, with the maximum rainfall intensity of 33.6 mm•h-1. Due to the differences in the origin, moving path, and intensity of the convective system, the spatiotemporal distribution of the precipitation was uneven and the scale was small. Strong precipitation was mainly concentrated in the east of Cangshan Mountain, while the precipitation in other regions was relatively weak. The convective system developed in the northern part of Erhai Lake usually moved fast with strong radar echo and relatively limited influence range. The strong convection generated on the west side of Erhai Lake and in the middle of Cangshan Mountain exhibited a prolonged lifetime and large influence range. The peak precipitation intensity appeared earlier in the northern part of Erhai Lake compared to the southern part. The precipitation intensity in the south of Erhai Lake declined slowly after reaching the peak. In other regions, the precipitation intensity dropped rapidly after the peak.

     

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